Here's some stats from the Euro2008:
In 11 games, the team leading at halftime later won the game. Only in 1 game the game ended in draw(Poland-Austria) and in 3 cases the team leading at halftime lost(Czechs to Turks,Switzerland to Turks, Greece to Spain)
In 12 wins, the game was a draw at halftime. Interestingly enough, in those wins the winner was always the team that scored first.
4 games were draw at halftime and draw in the end.
So apart of Turks, we could argue that no team really could handle being behind at halftime.
I broke this down in a diagram..basically at the Euro, you had a 35% chance of winning the game if you led by halftime. If you didn't lead at halftime but the game was a draw, if you scored the first goal, you had a 100% guarantee that you were not going to lose and a 85% chance to win. If you were behind however at halftime, it was more likely to win than to draw.
Fascinating, no?
football, maths, life, whatever else...but mainly football and life
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
No comments:
Post a Comment