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Friday, July 4, 2008

Euro2008 halftime stats

Here's some stats from the Euro2008:

In 11 games, the team leading at halftime later won the game. Only in 1 game the game ended in draw(Poland-Austria) and in 3 cases the team leading at halftime lost(Czechs to Turks,Switzerland to Turks, Greece to Spain)

In 12 wins, the game was a draw at halftime. Interestingly enough, in those wins the winner was always the team that scored first.
4 games were draw at halftime and draw in the end.

So apart of Turks, we could argue that no team really could handle being behind at halftime.

I broke this down in a diagram..basically at the Euro, you had a 35% chance of winning the game if you led by halftime. If you didn't lead at halftime but the game was a draw, if you scored the first goal, you had a 100% guarantee that you were not going to lose and a 85% chance to win. If you were behind however at halftime, it was more likely to win than to draw.

Fascinating, no?

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